8/20: Box Office Showdown!

[SFjohnny]

NOTE: The deadline this week is still Friday at 4:00PM ET.

BOX OFFICE SHOWDOWN

Great week people. Check below for HUGE box office prizes this week! Here are your numbers:

user | last week | percentage

1. SFpeter | 4 | 92.0 ineligible
2. Hakeem | 1 | 90.7
3. awnuts | NEW | 89.6
4. Nicholasp27 | 3 | 89.6
5. usedcars | NEW | 89.5
6. nicsmall | NEW | 86.8
7. moviemaven | 6 | 86.8
8. dberg1 | 2 | 85.5
9. MovieQueen | 8 | 83.4
10. papillonflyers | NEW | 82.9
11. dicethrower | NEW | 81.6
12. shakemeup | 7 | 80.3
13. janis fountain | N/A | 51.7

Hakeem, you bastard. You are taking all our stuff. Congrats awnuts on your first guess and your first runner-up prize! Please send an email to boards@shakefire.com with your address to claim your prizes. Here was the official box office:

1. Alien vs. Predator - $38,291,056
2. The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement - $22,956,453
3. Collateral - $16,174,309
4. Yu-Gi-Oh! The Movie - $9,485,494
5. The Bourne Supremacy - $8,600,575
6. The Village - $7,157,635
7. The Manchurian Candidate - $6,013,857
8. I, Robot - $3,866,317
9. Little Black Book - $3,784,115
10. Spider-Man 2 - $3,512,027
_______________________________________

THIS WEEK'S CONTEST:
Guess the closest to the ACTUAL top 10 box office results for Friday August 20-Sunday August 22 and you win:

GRAND PRIZE (1 winner):

-One-Month Membership to CinemaNow.com movie download site!

RUNNER-UPS!!! (1 winner)
A Random DVD OR CD

To help you out, the new movies coming out this week are:
-Without a Paddle (2,800 Theatres)
-Exorcist: The Beginning (2,500+ Theatres)
-Open Water (2,200+ Theatres)
-Benji: Off the Leash! (800+ Theatres)
-Garden State (525+ Theatres)

All guesses must be submitted by replying to this post by Friday August 20 at 4:00PM ET. For full list of rules, please go to http://www.shakefire.com/contestrules.html

[Hakeem]

SUPER-DUPER!!! :D :p

[papillonflyers]

You go!! I will catch up with you in about 3 months. Just playing. Have a good one

[Hakeem]

cinemanow eh? :p

1 AvP $16
2 Open Water $15
3 Princess Diaries 2 $14
4 Exorcist: The Beginning $12
5 Collateral $10.5
6 Without a Paddle $9.5
7 The Bourne Supremacy $5.5
8 Yu-Gi-Oh! $4.5
9 Manchurian Candidate $4
10 The Village $3.5

[Hakeem]

oh nooooooooooooooooooooooooooo




















I forgot about Benji :p

[janis fountain]

Maybe, I'll do better this week.
1. Exorcist - 38,100,000
2. Alien vs. Predator - 23,025,000
3. Benj - 20,670,000
4. Princess Diaries - 19,567,000
5. Open Water - 18,823,000
6. Without a Paddle - 18,023,000
7. Collateral - 13,720,000
8. Yu Gi Oh - 7,360,000
9. Bourne Supremacey - 6,255,000
10. The Village - 5,678,000

[janis fountain]

Hakeen, Must have a crystal ball somewhere in the house. My question is, where do I get one?

[ddawsongolfer]

This is cool. I'm new at this so we'll see. :cool:

1. Alien vs. Predator - 20m
2. The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement - 14m
3.-Exorcist: The Beginning-12m
4. Without a Paddle-10m
5. Open Water-8m
6. Collateral-7m
7.Yu-Gi-Oh! The Movie-5.5
8. The Bourne Supremacy-4.5
9. The Village-$3.3
10.The Manchurian Candidate-3.1

[Noggy]

Newbie Onboard! :D Been watching these emails come to my box for the past few months and finally decided to take a chance...have nothing to lose. Right?

So here are my picks for the upcoming week:

1- Exorcist: The Beginning $37 :eek:
2- AvP $29
3- Without a Paddle $21
4- Open Water $18
5- Collateral $11
6- Benji: Off Leash $8.5
7- The Village $5
8- The Manchurian Candidate $3.8
9- Garden State $3.5

[Nicsmall]

I think that this week will be pretty tiny, but what do I know?

1. AvP-15.0
2. Open Water-14.5
3. Exorcist-13.9
4. Without a Paddle-13.5
5. PD2-13.4
6. Collateral-10.4
7. Yu-Gi-Oh-4.7
8. The Bourne Supremecy-4.5
9. Garden Stat-3.1
10. The Village-2.9

[Peter Oberth]

scary movies and thrillers rule the box office...

1. Exorcist - $19,485,613
2. Alien Vs. Predator - $15,589,713
3. Open Water - $14,103,604
4. Without A Paddle - $13,546,007
5. Princess Diaries - $12,868,408
6. Collateral - $10,715,400
7. The Bourne Supremacy - $5,718,911
8. Yu-Gi-Oh! - $5,114,016
9. Garden State - $4,000,104
10. The Village - $3,800,902

[Peter Oberth]

have nothing to lose. Right?

did nobody tell Noggy that if you don't win, we own your soul?

[dicethrower]

1. Exorcist - $15.9

2. Alien Vs. Predator - $15.2
3. Open Water - $14.1
4. Princess Diaries - $13.6
5. Without A Paddle - $12.2
6. Collateral - $9.9
7. The Bourne Supremacy - $5.4
8. Yu-Gi-Oh! - $4.1
9. Garden State - $3.9
10. The Village - $3.7

[Hakeem]

oh man. you're algoing with garden state making 3-4 millions and I left it out :eek:

hope it makes only 2 :p

[manicmyk]

1. Exorcist 32mil
2. Alien vs. Predator 22mil
3. Without a Paddle 19mil
4. Princess Diaries 18.7mil
5. Open Water 18mil
6. Collateral 10mil
7. Benji 9mil
8. Yu Gi Oh 6mil
9. Bourne 3mil
10. Garden State 2.7 mil

[shakemeup]

1. Exorcist - 25.1
2. Without a Paddle - 20.6
3. Alien vs. Predator - 19.2
4. Open Water - 16.0
5. Princess Diaries - 13.6
6. Collateral - 10.3
7. Benji - 6.1
8. Bourne - 5.5
9. Garden State 5.2
10. Yu Gi Oh - 4.2

[Hakeem]

we're all giving very different predictions. this is goinna be a very good weekend :)

[usedcars]

1. Exorcist - 28
2. Without a Paddle - 18
3. Alien vs. Predator - 16
4. Open Water - 13
5. Princess Diaries - 12
6. Collateral - 10
7. Bourne - 6
8. Village - 4.2
9. Garden State 4.1
10. Yu Gi Oh - 4.0

[moviemaven]

Okay, another week another estimate.....so here goes!

1) Exorcist: The Beginning $19.68
2) Open Water $15.075
3) Alien vs. Predator $14.25
4) Without A Paddle $12.95
5)The Princess Diaries $12.3
6) Collateral $10.4
7) Benji $6.05
8) The Bourne Supremacy $6.0
9) Yu-Gi-Oh! $4.1
10) Garden State $ 3.975

[Hakeem]

EW says Without a Paddle will take teh top spot :eek:

http://www.ew.com/ew/report/0,6115,685149_1_0_,00.html

[dberg1]

1. Open Water $ 15.025
2. Alien VS. Predator $ 14.145
3. The Princess Diaries 2 $. 12.395
4. Exorcist The Beginning $. 12.299
5. Colatteral $ 10.678
6. Without a Paddle $ 10.125
7. The Bourne Supremecy $ 6.345
8. The Manchurian Candidate $ 4.235
9. Garden State $ 3.512
10. Yu-Gi-Oh $2.756

[Nicholasp27]

d'oh
almost forgot again

avp 15.2
exorcist 14.8
open water 13.5
pd2 13.4
collateral 10.8
w/out paddle 9.2
bourne 5.7
manchurian 3.9
village 3.4
garden 3.3

[Terri218]

This is my last try. If I come in last, I definitely quit. I know I said that before.

1. Without a Paddle $30
2. Exorcist: The Beginning $25
3. Alien vs. Predator - $20
4. Open Water $19
5. The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement - $18
6. Collateral - $15
7. Benji: Off the Leash! $11
8. Garden State $10
9. Yu-Gi-Oh! The Movie - $8
10. The Bourne Supremacy - $7


This is a pretty depressing bunch of movies.

[Hakeem]

This is my last try. If I come in last, I definitely quit. I know I said that before.

you shouldnt quit. just try to kinda think about past weeks and how movies change from their first weekend to their second one.

for example, you're predicting AvP is going to make 20 mill. well, it made 38 last week, and most normal movies drop around 45% in their second weekend, so 20 now would be ok. but movies with bad word of mouth drop much more. like 55% or even 65%. so AvP will probably make around 15-18mill.

same with Princess Diaries, 18 is too much I think. it made 24 last week, and its the only kids movie ina lot of theatres, so it'll be down around 45% or even just 40% to a total of 13-15mill.

the new movies, always tend to open low in august, AvP was kind of weird last week, it made a lot, but it also was in lots of theatres. but this week, exorcist and open water open in not that many theatres, plus both of them, plus AvP, are all horror/suspense movies, so they all aim for the same audiences whic means they'll split audiences. also, Open Water and exorcist are both rated R so kids cant go see them meaning ess money for them.

without a paddle opens in the same theatres as open water and exorcist, but alomost everybody saw it already with all the screenings they made, and its a PG-13 comedy (no swearing, no nudity) that is not going to attrack many young girls which are going to be watching princess diaries, nor young boys that are going to sneak to see the nudity and horror of open water instead of watching a bad (WAP is getting horrible) comedy. harold and kumar bomber a few weeks ago so this one could be the same.

benji opens in way to few theatres like to get some money.
garden state gets a good expansion. I really hope it makes good money, and it'll probably make around 3mill. could get in the 10th position.

anyway, thats how I make my guesses :D

[Hakeem]

wow, AvP went down like 75% this week. is fighting for a 4th place right now :eek:

and Garden State and Yu-Gi-Oh are fighting for the 10th place with an estimate of 2.1mill each so far for Friday and Saturday :D GO Yu-Gi-Oh!!! :p

[Hakeem]

garden state made it :)

ESTIMATES
1 Exorcist: The Beginning WB $18,175,000
2 Without a Paddle Par. $13,700,000
3 The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement BV $13,198,000
4 Alien vs. Predator Fox $12,500,000
5 Open Water Lions $11,750,000
6 Collateral DW $10,500,000
7 The Bourne Supremacy Uni. $6,647,000
8 The Manchurian Candidate Par. $4,200,000
9 The Village BV $3,677,000
10 Garden State FoxS $3,200,000
11 Yu-Gi-Oh! The Movie WB $2,870,000

[Hakeem]

ok, Nicholasp27 is gonna win. the only that got the top 10 right despite the numbers.

Congrats :)

[Terri218]

Wow Hakeem I'm really impressed! You should get a job with the studios. You're better at predicting than they are.

[Nicholasp27]

wow@exorcist was #1 with only 18.2 mil!

this was a weak week

[Terri218]

I may not win the contest, but as a Warner Bros stockholder at least I made some money - I hope.